Combined support for the four coalition parties making up Prime Minister Petteri Orpo's (NCP) government has fallen to its lowest level of this parliamentary term, according to the results of Yle's latest poll of voter sentiment.
Voter backing for PM Orpo's National Coalition Party dropped by nearly 2 percentage points to 19.1 percent in the latest survey — the party's worst poll performance of this year.
Jari Pajunen, CEO of pollster Taloustutkimus, said the poll results showed that many respondents who previously expressed support for the NCP were now reporting no party allegiances.
"That is somewhat exceptional, as NCP supporters are usually quite loyal," Pajunen said.
Support for the NCP was affected in particular during the second half of the measurement period, when discussions around Finland potentially recognising a Palestinian state were top of the political agenda.
Among the other government parties, support for the Finns Party has rebounded somewhat since collapsing to 10.8 percent in June. Backing for the Riikka Purra-led party stands at 12.3 percent in the latest survey — although Pajunen noted that the party has a long way to go to recover the lost ground.
"This is still a fairly small change. In the early part of the year, before the [local and regional] elections, their support was over 15 percent," he said.
Support for the two other coalition partners — the Swedish People's Party and the Christian Democrats — both dropped slightly, by 0.1 and 0.5 percent respectively, to leave both parties under 4 percent.
Combined support for the government parties now stands at 38.8 percent, the lowest level in Yle's polls since the coalition took office in the summer of 2023.
Opposition parties benefit from government unpopularity
While support for the government parties declined, the main opposition parties saw their backing grow.
The biggest winner in the latest Yle poll is the Centre Party, which achieved a one percentage point bump to consolidate its place as the third largest party in the country.
"The growth in the Centre Party's support has now come from the cities, not so much from the countryside," Pajunen said, noting that the Antti Kaikkonen-led party is traditionally strong in the countryside but usually fails to make significant inroads in Finland's urban areas.
Meanwhile, the Social Democratic Party (SDP) topped the poll once again, although it saw a small slip in support — now standing at 24.7 percent.
"This is the fourth time that the SDP's support has been below 25 percent, but the SDP's situation seems to be stable," Pajunen said.
The other opposition parties also benefited from the recent voter apathy towards the government, with the Left Alliance climbing above 10 percent and the Greens enjoying a one percentage point boost in backing.
Support for Movement Now, however, has now dipped below 1 percent.
Taloustutkimus interviewed 2,844 people, of whom 2,048 (72 percent) gave their party preference. People were asked which party they would vote for, if a parliamentary election were held now. Interviews were conducted between 7.7.2025 and 5.8.2025. Pollsters targeted over-18s resident in Finland, excluding Åland. The margin of error is +- 1.8 percentage points.
